Presentations of the Burden of Disease Epidemiology, Equity & Cost-Effectiveness Programme (BODE³)

2022

Blakely T, Ait Ouakrim D, Wilson N, Summers J. (2022). Could denicotinisation of tobacco products in NZ achieve less than 5% by 2025. Proceedings of the Society for Research on Nicotine & Tobacco (SRNT) 28th Annual Meeting (PDF). (SYM17-2; pp. 18).

2021

Wilson N, Grout L, Summers J, Mizdrak A, Nghiem N, Cleghorn C. A League Table of Cancer Control Interventions That Spans Primary Prevention to Palliation: QALYs, Impact on Inequalities, Costs and Cost-Effectiveness. International Health Economics Conference (Virtual Conference). 12–15 July 2021. Poster Presentation 4818.

Wilson N, Grout L, Summers J (presenter), Nghiem N, Baker MG. Preliminary Descriptive Comparisons of Health and Economic Impacts of New Zealand's Elimination Strategy Towards the COVID-19 Pandemic. International Health Economics Conference (Virtual Conference). 12–15 July 2021. Oral Presentation 4816.

Summers J (presenter), Ait Ouakrim D, Wilson N, Blakely T. Modeling Health Cost Savings and QALY Gains from Liberalizing Access to Electronic Nicotine Delivery Systems. International Health Economics Conference (Virtual Conference). 12 –15 July 2021. Oral Presentation 5126.

Nghiem N (presenter), Wilson N. Impact of COVID-19 Related Unemployment on Increased Cardiovascular Disease in a High-Income Country: Modelling Health Loss, Health Cost Burden and Health Equity. International Health Economics Conference (Virtual Conference). 12–15 July 2021. Oral Presentation 4788.

Boyd M [presenter], Wilson N. Cost-Effectiveness of Pandemic Preparedness: Global Health Security Agenda Investments and the Global Health Security Index. International Health Economics Conference (Virtual Conference). 12–15 July 2021. Oral Presentation 4564.

2020

Hoenink, J., Beulens, J., Blakely, T., Mackenbach, J., Ni Mhurchu, C., Waterlander, W., Wilson, N., & Nghiem, N. (2020). Impact of food taxes on purchasing of close substitute foods: Analysis of a large randomized experiment in a virtual supermarket. Proceedings of the International Society of Behavioral Nutrition & Physical Activity (ISBNPA) XChange. (pp. 671). International Society of Behavioral Nutrition and Physical Activity.

Wilson N, Grout L, Summers J, Jones A, Mizdrak A, Nghiem N, Cleghorn C, Blakely T. Informing Cancer Control Priorities with Epidemiological and Health Economic Modelling:
Presentation to Te Aho o Te Kahu. Presentation to Te Aho O Te Kahu, Wellington, 3 November 2020.

Cleghorn C, (with Blakely T, Mizdrak A, Waterlander W, Nghiem N, Swinburn B, Wilson N, Ni Mhurchu C). Health benefits and cost savings of sugar and sugary drinks taxes in NZ. FIZZ Summit 2020, Wellington, 5 August 2020.

Jones AC, Wilson N. Literature review of local interventions to prevent alcohol-related injuries: Recorded Presentation. Burden of Disease Epidemiology, Equity, and Cost-Effectiveness Programme (BODE³). Wellington: Department of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, July 2020.

Wilson N, Swinburn B, Thomson G. Health protecting taxes: is there a case for using taxation to achieve societal goals as opposed to just correcting negative externalities? European Health Economics Association Virtual Conference 9 July 2020.

Wilson N, Sousa T, Mizdrak A, Jones A, Cleghorn C, Nghiem N, Cobiac L, Blakely T. Comparing hundreds of health interventions in a methodologically compatible league table. European Health Economics Association Virtual Conference 9 July 2020.

Nghiem N, Teng A, Atkinson J, Nguyen BP, Wilson N. Predicting high-cost users among people with cardiovascular disease using machine learning and linked social administrative datasets for a whole country. European Health Economics Association Virtual Conference 9 July 2020.

Boyd M, Wilson N. Comparing falls prevention interventions in a methodologically compatible league table: QALYs, costs and ICERs. European Health Economics Association Virtual Conference 9 July 2020.

Boyd M, Kho A, Wilson G, Wilson N. Expediting cataract surgery as a cost-effective intervention for falls prevention: modelling the health gain, health system costs and cost-effectiveness in a high-income country. European Health Economics Association Virtual Conference 9 July 2020.

Boyd M, Baker M, Wilson N. The economics of complete border closure for severe pandemic threats: A literature review of modelling studies. European Health Economics Association Virtual Conference 9 July 2020.

Nghiem N, Blakely T, Cleghorn CL, Mizdrak A, Waterlander W, Swinburn B, Wilson N, Ni Mhurchu C. The effect of food taxes and subsidies on population health and health costs: a simulation study. European Health Economics Association Virtual Conference 9 July 2020.

2019

Jones A. Evidence from real world SSB taxes: What does this mean for Aotearoa New Zealand? Fizz Symposium. Auckland, 31 October 2019.

Blakely T, Singh A, Wilson N. A systematic review of tobacco intervention models - and why we need next-generation Vivarium simulation modelling [Presentation]. Inaugural SRNT-Oceania Conference. Sydney. 25 October, 2019.

Blakely T, Petrović van der Deen F, Wilson N, Crothers A, Cleghorn C, Gartner C. Net population health and cost impacts of legalizing domestic sale of vaporized nicotine products: a simulation study. Oceania Tobacco Control Conference, Sydney, 22-24 October 2019.

Blakely T, Sousa T, Mizdrak T, Petrović-van der Deen F, Jones AC, Cleghorn C, Nghiem N, Wilson N. Comparing 29 tobacco control interventions in an Australian and New Zealand Health Interventions League Table (ANZ-HILT). Oral presentation at Oceania Tobacco Control Conference. 2019 October 24; Sydney, Australia.

Wilson N, Sousa T, Mizdrak A, Petrovic-van der Deen F, Jones A, Cleghorn C, Nghiem N, Blakely T. Ranking tobacco control interventions in an online interactive league table to inform prioritization decisions. Oral presentation by Blakely at SRNT-Oceania Conference. 2019 October 24; Sydney, Australia.

Jones AC, Wilson N, Cobiac L, Blakely T, Waa A. Choosing interventions to reduce alcohol-related harm: a protocol for a modelling study. Oral presentation at the 45th Annual Alcohol Epidemiology Symposium of the Kettil Bruun Society. 2019 June 6; Utrecht, Netherlands.​

Wilson N, Petrović-van der Deen F, Cleghorn C, Gartner C, Blakely T. What are the potential and health and cost impacts of vaporised nicotine products? [Oral Presentation] The Inaugural New Zealand Vaping Policy Forum. Wellington, Parliament Buildings, 4 April 2019.

Cleghorn C, (with Wilson N, Cobiac L, Mizdrak A, Nghiem N). Achieving healthy and sustainable diets: A review of recent studies using optimisation modelling [Oral presentation] International Union for Health Promotion and Education (IUHPE) World Conference. Rotorua, 7-11 April 2019.

2018

Wilson N, Petrović-van der Deen FS, Edwards R, Waa A, Blakely T. Modelling the number of quitters needed to achieve New Zealand's Smokefree 2025 goal for Māori and non-Māori [Oral Presentation]. Smokefree 2025 Research Symposium. Wellington: University of Otago, Wellington, 9 November 2018.

Wilson N, Petrović-van der Deen FS, Cleghorn C, Nghiem N, Kvizhinadze G, Blakely T. The BODE3 online interactive league table: Results for tobacco control interventions [Oral Presentation]. Smokefree 2025 Research Symposium. Wellington: University of Otago, Wellington, 9 November 2018.

Sharrock T. The cost-effectiveness of fixed-dose combinations for preventative cardiovascular pharmacotherapy. Presentation to the ISPOR (NZ) Seminar “Putting the cost into cost-effectiveness”. Wellington: 17 October 2018.

Kvizhinadze, G (chair). Cost-effectiveness of prevention: Diet, physical activity, tobacco, cardiovascular disease interventions, with integration into an online league table. [Panel Discussion] 12th European Conference on Health Economics, Maastricht, The Netherlands, 12 July 2018.

Petrovic-van der Deen, F. Health gains and health sector cost-savings from a large range of traditional tobacco control interventions and endgame measures. 12th European Conference on Health Economics, Maastricht, The Netherlands, 12 July 2018.

Cleghorn, C (presented by Mizdrak, A). Health gains and health sector cost-savings of various dietary interventions. 12th European Conference on Health Economics, Maastricht, The Netherlands, 12 July 2018.

Mizdrak, A. Health gains and health sector cost-savings of increasing active transport. 12th European Conference on Health Economics, Maastricht, The Netherlands, 12 July 2018.

Nghiem, N (presented by Mizdrak, A). Value of preventative pharmacotherapy varies by absolute cardiovascular risk: modelling QALY gains, health costs and cost-effectiveness. 12th European Conference on Health Economics, Maastricht, The Netherlands, 12 July 2018.

Wilson N, Cleghorn C, Nghiem N. Optimization of plant-based diets for planetary health: a modeling approach. [Oral Presentation] 7th International Congress on Vegetarian Nutrition, Loma Linda University, California, 26-28 February 2018.

2017

Cleghorn C, Wilson N, Nair N, Kvizhinadze G, Nghiem N, McLeod M, Blakely T. Smartphones and counselling for weight loss: Health and economic modelling [e-Poster]. IUNS International Congress of Nutrition (15-20 October 2017). Buenos Aires, Argentina.

van der Deen FS, Wilson N, Cleghorn CL, Kvizhinadze G, Cobiac L, Blakely T. (2017, 17-19 October, Hobart). Can tobacco endgame strategies achieve smokefree goals. And with what QALY gains and cost-savings? Presented at the 2017 Oceania Tobacco Control Conference.

van der Deen FS, Blakely T, Cleghorn CL, Nghiem N, Kvizhinadze G, McLeod M, Cobiac L, Wilson N. (2017, 17-19 October, Hobart). Health impact and cost-savings of 14 tobacco control interventions in a developed country setting. Presented at the 2017 Oceania Tobacco Control Conference.

Wilson N, Blakely T, Nghiem N, van der Deen FS (and the BODE3 Team). Ending the cardiovascular disease epidemic in New Zealand: What can modelling tell us? [Keynote Presentation] Wellington: Annual Scientific Meeting and Workshop of the New Zealand College of Public Health Medicine 6-8 September, 2017.

Wilson N, Nghiem N, Cobiac L, Cleghorn C, Blakely T. A league table of health gains and health system cost impacts from 32 dietary salt reduction interventions [Oral Presentation]. The 12th World Congress of the International Health Economics Association, Boston, USA, 7-11 July 2017.

Nghiem N, Wilson N, Teng A, Atkinson J, Blakely T. Predicting cardiovascular events and costs using machine learning and linked health and social data sets in New Zealand [Oral Presentation]. The 12th World Congress of the International Health Economics Association, Boston, USA, 7-11 July 2017.

van der Deen FS, Wilson N, Cleghorn C, Kvizhinadze G, Cobiac L, Blakely T. Can endgame interventions achieve a tobacco-free world by 2040? And with what QALY gains and cost savings?. [PA13-1] [Abstract accepted and published but not delivered in person at the Conference] Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco Annual Conference. Florence, Italy, 8-11 March 2017.

Wilson N, Nghiem N, Leung W, Cleghorn C, Nair N, van der Deen FS, Blakely T. Mass media and quitline combined: modelling the health gain (QALYs), equity impacts and health cost savings. [POS4-24] [Abstract accepted and published but not delivered in person at the Conference] Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco Annual Conference. Florence, Italy, 8-11 March 2017.

Pearson A, Cleghorn C, van der Deen FS, Cobiac L, Kvizhinadze G, Nghiem N, Blakely T, Wilson N. Reduced access to tobacco retailers: modelling health, equity and cost impacts at a national level. [POS4-131] [Abstract accepted and published but not delivered in person at the Conference] Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco Annual Conference. Florence, Italy, 8-11 March 2017.

van der Deen FS, Wilson N. Pharmacists' views on restricting tobacco and e-cigarettes sales to pharmacies only: a cross sectional survey in New Zealand. [POS2-45] [Abstract accepted and published but not delivered in person at the Conference] Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco Annual Conference, Florence, Italy, 8-11 March 2017.

2016

Gibb S. Virtual Health Information Network: Initial findings and lessons learned from the catalyst projects. Presentation on the VHIN, at UOW, Wellington, August 2016.

McLeod M. Colorectal Cancer Screening: will it be equitable for Maori? Hei Ahuru Mowai, National Maori Cancer Leadership Group, Cancer Society Wellington, 16 May 2016.

McLeod M. Colorectal Cancer Screening: will it be equitable for Maori? World Indigenous Cancer Conference, Brisbane, 14 April 2016.

Blakely T. Funding melanoma drug [Professor Tony Blakely explains the funding dilemma around the cancer drug Keytruda]. Radio interview on Radio NZ, 1 March 2016.

2015

Blakely T. Tony Blakely on PHARMAC [Keytruda melanoma drug & cost-effectiveness]. Radio interview on Radio NZ, 13 December 2015.

McDonald A, Kvizhinadze G, Nair N, McLeod M, Wilson N, Blakely T. Screening programme to test and treat H.pylori infection in New Zealand: a cost-utility analysis by age, sex and ethnicity. Presentation at the Campylobacter, Helicobacter & Related Organisms, 18th International Workshop. Rotorua, New Zealand. 1-5 November 2015

Blakely T, Cobiac L, Pearson A, Cleghorn C, Ikeda T, Kvizhinadze G, van der Deen Frederieke, McLeod M, Wilson N. Potential impacts of tobacco tax on health, health inequalities, and health system costs? Epidemiological and economic modelling in NZ. Presentation to Treasury and Ministry of Health Officials, 9 October 2015.

Blakely T. Overview of Modelling Approaches to Estimate Health and Cost Impacts of Food Taxes and Subsidies. Proceedings of the 11th World Congress: "De Gustibus Disputandum Non Est!" Health Economics and Nutrition: an iHEA World Congress in Milan (International Health Economics Association).

Cleghorn C, Cobiac L, Nghiem N, Kvizhinadze G, Wilson N, Ni Mhurchu C and Blakely T. Modelling the QALYS gained and health system cost impacts of food taxes and subsidies in New Zealand: Multistate life table modelling of a sugar sweetened beverage tax and removing GST on fresh fruit and vegetables. Proceedings of the 11th World Congress: "De Gustibus Disputandum Non Est!" Health Economics and Nutrition: an iHEA World Congress in Milan (International Health Economics Association).

Blakely T, Waterlander W, Nghiem N, Genc M, Eyles H, Cobiac L, Ni Mhurchu C and Wilson N. A Novel Approach to Improving Price Elasticity Estimation: An Experimental Study Using a Virtual Supermarket and Bayesian Methods. Proceedings of the 11th World Congress: "De Gustibus Disputandum Non Est!" Health Economics and Nutrition: an iHEA World Congress in Milan (International Health Economics Association).

2014

McLeod H. Using individual-level linked data sets to estimate healthcare costs for New Zealand. Answering policy questions using “Big Data”. [Presentation] New Zealand Society of Actuaries, Dunedin, New Zealand 19-22 November 2014. [Abstract from the presentation].

Nair N, Blakely T, Wilson N, BODE³ Team. Getting more bang for your health buck: How cost-effectiveness research can help. [Presentation]. NZ Population Health Congress, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 6-8 October 2014.

van der Deen FS, Ikeda T, Cobiac L, Wilson N, Blakely T. Will New Zealand achieve a smoking prevalence under 5% by 2025 under current trends? Results of an updated Tobacco Forecasting Model. [Presentation]. NZ Population Health Congress, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 6-8 October 2014.

Nghiem N, Blakely T, Cobiac LJ, Pearson AL, Wilson N. Cost-utility analysis of existing and novel dietary salt reduction interventions. [Presentation]. NZ Population Health Congress, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 6-8 October 2014.

Kvizhinadze G, Wilson N, Nair N, McLeod M, Blakely T. A new framework for identifying cost-effective life-saving interventions by stage of the life course, a refinement on standard VSL approaches. [Accepted Abstract in Abstract Book]. NZ Population Health Congress, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 6-8 October 2014.

Sloane K, Wilson N, Blakely T. What is the impact of running a public health blog in New Zealand? [Presentation]. NZ Population Health Congress, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 6-8 October 2014.

Ni Mhurchu C, Eyles H, Genc M, Scarborough, Rayner M, Mizdrak A, Nnoaham K, Blakely T. Estimated effects of health-related food taxes and subsidies on mortality from non-communicable disease in New Zealand. [Presentation]. NZ Population Health Congress, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 6-8 October 2014.

Blakely T & BODE³ Team. Tobacco Endgame – Game On! Modelling of future health gains, health inequalities and cost under BAU and tax. Master class: Smoke Free 2025. [Presentation]. NZ Population Health Congress & Australasian Epidemiological Association, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 8 October 2014.

Wilson N. Possible Endgames Beyond Tobacco for NZ – A Public Health Perspective. Master class: Smoke Free 2025. [Presentation] NZ Population Health Congress & Australasian Epidemiological Association, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 8 October 2014.

Nghiem N, Blakely T, Cobiac LJ, Wilson N. Cost-utility analysis of four population-level interventions to reduce health loss from dietary salt intake. [Poster Presentation]. Australasian Epidemiological Association, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 8-10 October 2014.

Blakely T, Wilson N, BODE³ Team. What can epidemiologists offer to – and learn from – disease and cost-effectiveness modelling? Lots! [Presentation]. Australasian Epidemiological Association, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 8-10 October 2014.

Blakely T, Pearson A, Cobiac L, Nghiem N, Cleghorn C, Wilson N. A cost-utility analysis of regularly raising tobacco taxation to help achieve the New Zealand Government's smokefree nation goal. [Presentation]. Australasian Epidemiological Association, Aotea Centre, Auckland, 8-10 October 2014.

2013

Wilson N, Blakely T. Would addressing high-priority risk factors from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2010 potentially reduce health inequalities? A case study [Global Health Metrics and Evaluation Conference, Seattle, USA, 2013]. The Lancet 2013; 381: S147

Blakely T, Wilson N, Ni Mhurchu C, Cobiac L. What is the Current Evidence on Taxes and Subsidies on Food? [Presentation] Members of Parliament 12 November 2013, Wellington.

Blakely T, Kvizhinadze G, Karvonen T, Pearson AL, Smith M and Wilson N. Is HPV vaccination a good use of New Zealand health dollars and can the programme be further optimised for health and equity gains? [Presentation] Family Planning Conference 31 October - 2 November 2013, Wellington.

Ikeda T, Cobiac L, Wilson N, Carter K, Blakely T. What is needed to achieve New Zealand's Smokefree Nation Goal: Results from a forecasting model. [Presentation] Oceania Tobacco Control Conference 23-25 October 2013, Auckland.

Pearson A, van der Deen F, Wilson N, Cobiac L, Blakely T. Exploration of tobacco retail outlet reduction interventions to reduce smoking [Presentation] Oceania Tobacco Control Conference 23-25 October 2013, Auckland.

Wilson N, Cobiac L, Ikeda T, Nghiem N, Blakely T. The tobacco endgame in New Zealand: How might tobacco taxation contribute for Māori and all New Zealanders? [Presentation] Oceania Tobacco Control Conference 23-25 October 2013, Auckland.

Wilson N. Issues around modelling the potential role of e-cigarettes in tobacco endgame strategies. [Presentation] Oceania Tobacco Control Conference (Gateway on Alternative routes and products to Smokefree 2025), 23-25 October 2013, Auckland.

Tobias M. Talk on the NZ Burden of Disease Study – [Oral presentation] Ministry of Health, August 2013. [Visiting guest lecture]

Ikeda T, Cobiac L, Nghiem N, Carter K, Wilson N, Blakely T. What is Needed to Achieve New Zealand's Smokefree Nation Goal: Results from a Forecasting Model. [Poster] University of Otago, Wellington, 2013.

Blakely T, McLeod M, Nghiem N, Kvizhinadze G, Quirke T, Bartholomew N, Tobias M. Using prevalent years of life lived with disability (YLDs) to measure comorbidity in CUA [Presentation] iHEA 9th World Congress on Health Economics: "Celebrating Health Economics” (7-10 July 2013). Sydney, Australia. See abstract submission.

Wilson N, Nghiem N, Foster R, Cobiac L, Blakely T. Estimating the Costs of Developing a New Law for Modelling Health Interventions [Presentation and e-Poster]. iHEA 9th World Congress on Health Economics: "Celebrating Health Economics” (7-10 July 2013). Sydney, Australia. See abstract submission.

Foster R, Collinson L, Kvizhinadze G, Blakely T. Care coordination services in colon cancer care: economic evaluation using discrete event simulation modelling [Presentation and abstract]. iHEA 9th World Congress on Health Economics: "Celebrating Health Economics” (7-10 July 2013). Sydney, Australia. See abstract submission.

Nghiem N, Wilson N, Mhurchu C N, Eyles H, Baker M G, & Blakely T. Foods and dietary patterns that are low-cost, healthy, and environmentally sustainable: Results of optimisation modelling [Presentation]. iHEA 9th World Congress on Health Economics: "Celebrating Health Economics” (7-10 July 2013). Sydney, Australia. See abstract submission.

van der Deen, FS, Pearson, AL, Wilson, N. How cost-effective are mass media campaigns in tobacco control in developed countries? A critical review of recent studies [Presentation]. iHEA 9th World Congress on Health Economics: "Celebrating Health Economics" (7-10 July 2013). Sydney, Australia. See abstract submission.

Wilson, N. Reducing salt in the diet to protect health: Easy and effective [Presentation]. June 2013, Wellington.

Professor Tony Blakely presenting: Are care coordinators cost effective? An evaluation for stage III colon cancer. [62 minutes] Friday 1 March 2013, Small Lecture Theatre, University of Otago, Wellington. See short version here [12 minutes].

2012

Ikeda T, Cobiac L, Nghiem N, Wilson N, Blakely T. Projecting Smoking Prevalence in New Zealand and Scope for Achieving the Government's Smokefree Nation 2025 Goal. [Oral presentation]. Tobacco-free Aotearoa Conference 2012, 8-9 November, 2012, Wellington.

Wilson N, Thomson G, Edwards R. What are the Most Plausible Tobacco Endgame Strategies for Achieving the Government's Smokefree 2025 Goal? [Oral presentation No. 126]. Tobacco-free Aotearoa Conference 2012, 8-9 November 2012, Wellington.

Nghiem N, Carter M-A, Wilson N. Disaster management: Optimisation modelling to inform emergency food storage for organisations and citizens in New Zealand. [Poster presentation]. Inj Prev 2012;18(Suppl 1):A153-4. Doi:10.1136/injuryprev-2012-040590I.7.

Wilson N, Thomson G, Edwards R, Blakely T. A Sinking Lid on National Tobacco Supply for the Tobacco Endgame. Workshop on Endgame Strategies in Tobacco Control, 19-21 June 2012. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan School of Public Health.

Blakely T. Cancer Control Research: Trends, Inequalities and Interventions. [Poster] University of Otago, Wellington, 2012.

2011

Wilson N, Blakely T, Foster R, Hadorn D, Vos T. Selecting priority health risk factors for researching preventive interventions: a New Zealand example. [Poster] World Congress of Epidemiology 7-11 August 2011, Edinburgh, Scotland. (Abstract of Poster: P2-332 in: J Epidemiol Community Health 2011;65:A314).